Forget the trade deficit. The trade war is part of a larger U.S. backlash against China’s rise. https://nationalinterest.org/feature/would-trump-use-bomb-26806 Would Trump Use the Bomb?

Given the failures to foresee the 2008 financial crisis and subsequent weak recovery, it is easy to think that economists have little to offer in the way of predictions. But when it comes to national-level GDP growth, past projections have largely been borne out; even when wrong, they can be used to diagnose structural problems.