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PS: THE BIGGEST BLACK SWAN IN THIS YEAR 2018:MIDTERM ELECTION IN US ?? Trump administration is pushing countries to cut all imports from November

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How viable is Trump’s ambitious plan? Together with colleagues at Chatham House, I took this question, among others, to 75 analysts and policymakers in ten countries: the United States, Iran, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Israel, Russia, China, the United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia. Respondents assessed the possibility that the United States could yet […]

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