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NOTHING IS PERMANENT EXCEPT CHANGE

China’s yuan will head in time to its weakest since 2008, and the country’s stock slump also has further to go, according to the veteran global economist George Magnus.

The currency’s decline will only deepen as monetary policy on the mainland diverges from that of the Federal Reserve, Magnus said in a telephone interview this week. As for what’s going on right now -- the steepest drop for the yuan since the devaluation almost three years ago, and a bear market in stocks -- it reminds him of the 2015-16 selloff, and it’s hard to tell how officials will respond, he said.

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China’s “national team” of state-backed funds is frequently suspected of buying shares during turbulent times. Large caps like banks are among the most favoured targets, and buying often comes in the afternoon so gains, or at least smaller losses, are locked in for the day. The funds were net buyers of bank stocks in the […]

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